CAPITAL

Chart 1:  Classic Economic Capital Graph
Table 1:  Survey of Expected Loss by Risk grade (bps)
Table 2:  Survey of Capital Ratios by Risk Grade (bps)
Chart 2:  Insured Commercial Banks - Total Equity to Total Assets
Chart 3:  Credit Spread 99.9% Annual Extremum Movement
Chart 4:  Equity as a Function of Expected Loss, CBO Data 1996-8
Chart 5:  Creditmetrics Generated Unexpected Loss, without spread volatility
Chart 6:  Expected Loss and Capital by Risk Grade
Chart 7:  Comparison Under Different Extreme Tax and ROE Scenarios
Chart 8:  Moody's Losses to be Sustained (%) for Various Collateral Ratings Grades
Chart 9:  Std. Deviation of Annual Loss/Avg Annualized Loss, Moody's Factor Adjustments of Collateral
               Loss Rates by Collateral Rating by Risk Grade

 

 

Chart 1: Capital
classiccapchart.gif (39915 bytes)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table   1: Capital

Survey of Expected Loss by Risk Grade (bps)

AA

A

BB

B

3-year

3-year

3-year

3-year

Low

0.9

2.0

4.0

18.0

Average

1.9

5.1

11.0

44.0

High

5.0

10.0

17.0

84.0

* Senior, 3yr- Unsecured bullet maturity Facilities

source: First Manhattan Consulting Group, RMA, "Winning the Credit Cycle Game: A Road Map for Adding Shareholder Value Through Credit Portfolio Managment".

 

Table 2: Capital

Survey of Capital Ratios by Risk Grade (bps)

AA

A

BB

B

3-year

3-year

3-year

3-year

Low

21

35

50

185

Average

78

132

196

444

High

120

240

364

700

* Senior, 3-yr Unsecured Bullet Maturity Facilities

source: First Manhattan Consulting Group, RMA, "Winning the Credit Cycle Game: A Road Map for Adding Shareholder Value Through Credit Portfolio Managment".


Chart 2: Capital
fdicliabchart2.gif (11909 bytes)
source: www.FDIC.gov  ,The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation - Division of Research and Statistics. "Historical Statistics on Banking".

 

 

 

Chart 3: Capital
spreadvolgr.gif (9540 bytes)
source: Bloomberg L.P. 1999.

 

 

 

Chart 4: Capital
cboeqcbo eq.gif (65334 bytes)
source:


 

 

Chart 5: Capital
cboeqcreditmetrics.gif (16481 bytes)
source: author's calculations

 

 

Chart 6: Capital
cboechrt1.gif (67393 bytes)

Source: Financial Services at the Crossroads: Capital Regulation in the Twenty First Century, February 26-7, 1998

Capital Allocation and Bank Management Based on the Quantification of Credit Risk

 

 

 

 

Chart 7: Capital
capitalchrt.gif (89350 bytes)
source: Bloomberg L.P.,1999. Standard & Poor's CreditWeek: The Global Authority on Credit Quality; global Defaults Remain Low, 1/28/98. 
Note: Spreads are as of 3/1/99

 

 

 

Chart 8: Capital
et3idlzd-altmanchrt.gif (80139 bytes)
source: Caouette, John B., and Altman, Edward I., and Narayanan, Paul, Managing Credit Risk: The Next Great Financial Challenge, John Wiley & Sons, copyright 1998, Moody's Investors Service 1991, 12.

 

 

Chart 9: Capital
loss_paul_creditprostddevloss_avgloss_moodyfactors.gif (58747 bytes)

source

Chart 10: Capital

spcbo.gif (29489 bytes)

Chart 11: Capital

margvol.gif (14844 bytes)

The marginal addition from volatility assumes independent risk, and uses the formula

Image116.gif (1490 bytes)

 

Chart 12: Capital

spmov1.gif (6966 bytes)

 

 

Chart 13: Capital

spmov2.gif (9600 bytes)

 

Tables and Charts